Arpaio Leads Primary, General Election Maricopa County Sheriff Races

Maricopa Sheriff Joe Arpaio leads a 4-way Republican Primary by 54 percent the day early voting begins and leads a potential General Election race by 5 percent, according to recent polls conducted by leading behavior research polling company, OH Predictive Insights.

In a survey of 484, likely Republican, Independent and Non-Declared voters across Maricopa County based on projected 2016 Primary Election turnout, Joe Arpaio leads Dan Saban 67 percent to 13 percent.  K. Wayne Baker and Marcia Hill each registered 2 percent.

In a survey of 348 likely General Election voters in Maricopa County based on projected 2016 General Election turnout, Joe Arpaio leads Democrat Paul Penzone 46 percent to 41 percent.

“Joe Arpaio is crushing his primary opponents in the race for the Republican nomination for Maricopa County Sheriff.  Republican Primary voters overwhelmingly support Sheriff Arpaio.” Mike Noble, managing partner of OH Predictive Insights and chief pollster, said. “In the General Election Sheriff Arpaio has a 5 percent lead over the candidate he defeated 4 years ago.  The General looks to be a close race up until the final votes are counted.”

Noble described the 80 plus year old Arpaio on the campaign trail in an appearance on the James T. Harris show on Thursday, “He absolutely kills it with the crowds. His name ID is almost 100 percent.”