Donald Trump is holding his lead in Arizona, and Marco Rubio is gaining ground according to MBQF, a public affairs consulting firm. On Tuesday the firm announced the results of a recent survey concerning top tier GOP candidates for president of the United States of America.
The results from the survey show high efficacy primary Republican voters across Arizona represented by likely 2016 turnout models.
In the most recent automated telephonic survey of 736 high efficacy primary republican voters, conducted on February 22, 2016, the survey calculates a 3.61% theoretical margin of error, plus or minus in percentage points, 95% of the time.
The exact question was phrased, “Arizona’s Presidential Preference election will be held March 22nd. Which candidate, listed in alphabetical order are you planning on supporting?”
Trump does have a General Election Problem with GOP Base.
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Michael Noble, consultant and pollster, issued the following statement, “The early primaries and caucuses have winnowed a 17-person field down to just 4 credible choices. Donald Trump maintains his consistent advantage from likely GOP voters. However, the poll shows what many have long discussed – Trump has a ceiling and cannot attract the wide swath of GOP voters.”
Noble added, “Donald Trump is on pace to win Arizona big in March, but would be an underdog to repeat that feat in November.”
For more information about this survey, or a summary of topline data and wording, please contact MBQF Consulting. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.61%.